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When Each State Could Consider Easing Coronavirus Social Distancing, According to Study

When Each State Could Consider Easing Coronavirus Social Distancing, According to Study

Some states could consider lifting social distancing by early May as long as other measures are in place

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The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) — an independent population health research center at the University of Washington — has released a new study that predicts when each state may begin to ease social distancing guidelines and slowly reopen the state. Dr. Deborah Birx, a coordinator of the United States' coronavirus task force, indicated during a briefing that previous IHME models were very close to the administration's own findings.

The new study estimates this date based on when coronavirus infections will drop below one per 1 million people in each state also taking into account each location’s available public health funding to implement containment strategies. Containment strategies include proper testing, contact tracing, isolation and limiting gathering size.

As of now, the earliest some states may begin to ease social distancing guidelines is May 10, while the latest creep into July. A majority of states across the nation fall in the latter category. Here is a state by state breakdown with all information as of April 27.

 

Alabama

Alabama

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Alabama closed non-essential businesses on March 28 and issued a statewide stay-at-home order on April 4 that will expire April 30 at 5 p.m. According to the data, relaxing social distancing orders might be possible after May 22.

Alaska

Alaska

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Alaska ordered residents to stay home unless necessary and closed non-essential services on March 28. As of April 24, Gov. Mike Dunleavy began allowing the limited reopening of restaurants, stores, salons and other businesses. As of April 27, the model wasn’t able to point to a specific date when the state should begin easing social distancing strategies.

Arizona

Arizona

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Educational facilities were closed in Arizona on March 16 and a stay-at-home order was issued by Arizona’s governor that started on March 31 that will expire on April 30, unless extended. After July 6, relaxing social distancing orders might be possible with containment strategies, according to the data.

Arkansas

Arkansas

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As of April 27, Arkansas does not have a statewide stay-at-home order implemented, but other limitations were put in place. According to the data, relaxing social distancing may be possible with containment strategies after June 28. 

California

California

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California implemented a stay-at-home order on March 19, closing educational facilities, non-essential services and businesses on the same day. As of April 23, the order is in effect until further notice. After May 20, California might be able to relax its social distancing orders with containment strategies, according to the data.

Colorado

Colorado

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Colorado implemented a stay-at-home order and closed non-essential services on March 26. The executive order expired on April 26 and a new “Safer at Home” initiative was created to protect individuals vulnerable to coronavirus. According to the data, with containment strategies, it may be possible for Colorado to relax its social distancing mandates after June 1.

Connecticut

Connecticut

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On March 20, Connecticut Governor Ned Lamont announced a “Stay Safe, Stay at Home” initiative that enforced non-essential businesses to close by the night of March 23. Orders have been extended through to, at least, May 20. After June 17, relaxing social distancing may be possible with containment strategies, according to the data.

Delaware

Delaware

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Delaware closed non-essential services and implemented a stay-at-home order on March 24 that is scheduled to last until May 15. With containment strategies, relaxing social distancing may be possible in Delaware after May 20, according to the data.

Florida

Florida

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Florida issued a statewide stay-at-home order and restricted mass gatherings from April 3 until April 30. According to the data, after June 21, relaxing social distancing orders in Florida may be possible with containment strategies.

Georgia

Georgia

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Georgia restricted mass gatherings on March 24 and issued a statewide stay-at-home order on April 2. The order will remain in effect until April 30. With proper containment strategies, relaxing social distancing may be possible in Georgia after June 28, according to the data.  

Hawaii

Hawaii

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Hawaii closed non-essential services and implemented a stay-at-home order on March 25. As of April 27, the stay-at-home order will go through May 31. According to the data, after May 11, relaxing social distancing guidelines in Hawaii may be possible with containment strategies, according to the data.

Idaho

Idaho

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Idaho declared a stay-at-home order on March 25. Unless extended, the order will end on April 30. According to the data provided by IHME, with containment strategies, it may be possible for Idaho to relax social distancing guidelines after May 19.

Illinois

Illinois

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Illinois implemented a stay-at-home order March 21, closing non-essential services. The order will extend until May 30, but is currently being challenged in court. According to data, after May 21, relaxing social distancing may be possible with containment strategies.

Indiana

Indiana

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Non-essential services were ordered to close in Indiana on March 24 and a statewide stay-at-home order began March 25, ending on May 1. With containment strategies in place, it may be possible for Indiana to relax social distancing after May 22, according to the data.

Iowa

Iowa

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As of April 27, the state of Iowa has not implemented a stay-at-home order, but educational facilities closed April 4. 21 counties, including Des Moines, have been ordered to keep non-essential businesses closed until May 15. After July 1, relaxing social distancing may be possible with containment strategies, according to the data.

Kansas

Kansas

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Kansas implemented a stay-at-home order on March 30 that has been extended until May 3. According to the data, relaxing social distancing orders may be possible after June 29 with containment strategies.

Kentucky

Kentucky

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The Kentucky governor closed non-essential services on March 26, but, as of April 27, a statewide stay-at-home order has not been implemented. Kentuckians have been encouraged to stay “healthy at home.” It may be possible to relax social distancing in Kentucky after June 22 with containment strategies, according to the data.

Louisiana

Louisiana

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Louisiana closed non-essential services on March 22 and implemented a stay-at-home order the following day on March 23. On April 27, the stay-at-home order was extended to May 15. According to the data, it may be possible for Louisiana to relax its social distancing mandate after May 26 with containment strategies. 

Maine

Maine

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Maine closed non-essential services on March 25 and issued a mandatory stay-at-home order on April 2. The stay-at-home order will expire on May 15. Relaxing social distancing orders may be possible after May 19 with containment strategies, according to the data.

Maryland

Maryland

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Governor Larry Hogan announced a stay-at-home directive for Maryland on March 30. Governor Hogan has not announced an official end date, but on April 24, he released "Maryland Strong Roadmap to Recovery," a detailing of how the state will rebuild itself. With proper containment strategies, it may be possible for Maryland to relax social distancing guidelines after May 27, according to the data.

Massachusetts

Massachusetts

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As of April 22, the state of Massachusetts has not implemented a mandatory stay-at-home order, but, under the order of Governor Charlie Baker, non-essential services closed on March 24 until May 4. Massachusetts has joined a coalition with New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware and Rhode Island that will work together to restore the economy. According to the data, after June 21, relaxing social distancing may be possible with containment strategies.

Michigan

Michigan

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Michigan implemented a stay-at-home order on March 24, which was extended until May 15. With containment strategies, relaxing social distancing may be possible in Michigan after May 21, according to the data.

Minnesota

Minnesota

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Minnesota implemented a stay-at-home order on March 27 effective until May 3. According to the data, after June 7, relaxing social distancing may be possible with containment strategies in Minnesota.

Mississippi

Mississippi

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Mississippi closed non-essential services and implemented a statewide stay-at-home order on April 3 that ended on April 20. The state now has a “Safer at Home” order in effect until May 11. Relaxing social distancing may be possible in Mississippi after June 1 with containment strategies, according to the data.

Missouri

Missouri

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Missouri restricted mass gatherings and closed educational facilities and businesses on March 23. Two weeks later. Governor Mike Parson issued a statewide stay-at-home order on April 6 that has been extended through May 3. According to the data, it may be possible for Missouri to relax social distancing after June 17 with containment strategies.

Montana

Montana

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Montana’s governor issued a shelter-in-place directive on March 26. On April 22, Governor Steve Bullock announced that the state would gradually begin reopening, with the stay-at-home order ending April 26. The data suggests that after May 18, Montana may be able to relax social distancing mandates with containment strategies, according to the data.

Nebraska

Nebraska

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As of April 27, Nebraska does not have a stay-at-home order implemented, but some business was closed, mass gatherings were restricted and the latest move to close educational facilities was on April 2. On April 9, Governor Pete Ricketts announced “21 Days to Stay Home and Stay Healthy in Nebraska,” an initiative that encouraged healthy practices for 21 days. According to the data, social distancing mandates may be relaxed after July 8 with containment strategies.

Nevada

Nevada

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Governor Steve Sisolak issued a mandatory stay-at-home order on March 31 that will expire on April 30. On April 27, Nevada joined the Western States Pact, a coalition of Western state governors that will work to modify stay-at-home orders and fight the spread of coronavirus. According to the data, after May 23, Nevada might be able to relax social distancing guidelines and use other containment strategies.

New Hampshire

New Hampshire

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New Hampshire implemented a stay-at-home order on March 27 which was extended until May 4. Non-essential services closed the following day on March 28. After May 18, it may be possible for New Hampshire to relax its social distancing mandate with containment strategies, according to the data.

New Jersey

New Jersey

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New Jersey closed non-essential services and implemented a stay-at-home order on March 21 with no specific end date until revoked or remodified by the governor. Relaxing social distancing orders may be possible with containment strategies after May 28, according to the data.

New Mexico

New Mexico

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As of April 22, the state of New Mexico has not issued a mandatory stay-at-home order, but non-essential services closed on March 24. Governor Michelle Grisham extended the state’s public health orders to May 15.  With containment strategies, it may be possible for New Mexico to relax social distancing guidelines after June 3, according to the data.

New York

New York

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New York closed non-essential services and enforced a stay-at-home order on March 22. As of April 27, schools and non-essential businesses have been ordered to remain closed until May 15 and Governor Cuomo issued orders requiring all people in New York to wear masks or face coverings in public. According to the data, after May 28, relaxing social distancing mandates in New York may be possible with containment strategies.

North Carolina

North Carolina

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North Carolinians were ordered to stay home on March 30. Governor Roy Cooper shelter in place guidelines through May 8. With containment strategies, relaxing social distancing orders may be possible in North Carolina after May 13, according to the data.

North Dakota

North Dakota

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As of April 27, the state of North Dakota has not implemented statewide stay-at-home mandates. After July 20 — the latest for any state thus far —it may be possible for North Dakota to relax social distancing orders with containment strategies, according to the data.

Ohio

Ohio

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Ohio closed non-essential services and implemented a stay-at-home order on March 23 that has been extended through May 1. Relaxing social distancing mandates may be possible in Ohio after May 14 with containment strategies, according to the data.

Oklahoma

Oklahoma

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As of April 27, Oklahoma does not have a statewide stay-at-home order, but non-essential services were ordered to close April 1 through April 30. According to data released by IHME, the model cannot make long-term projections for Oklahoma.

Oregon

Oregon

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Oregon’s governor, Kate Brown, issued an executive order on March 23 that directed citizens to stay indoors and prohibited non-essential social and recreational gatherings. The order is in effect until ended by Governor Brown. After May 31, relaxing social distancing orders may be possible with containment strategies, according to the data.

Pennsylvania

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Pennsylvania restricted mass gatherings and issued a statewide stay-at-home order on April 1 which was extended through May 8. With containment strategies, Pennsylvania might be able to relax social distancing orders after May 28, according to the data.

Rhode Island

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Rhode Island implemented a stay-at-home order on March 28. That order has been extended through May 8. According to the data, after June 21, it may be possible for the state to relax social distancing with containment strategies.

South Carolina

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South Carolina enforced a statewide stay-at-home order on April 7. The order was initially ordered to be lifted on April 29 but was extended 15 more days. The state may be able to relax social distancing mandates after June 13 with containment strategies, according to the data.

South Dakota

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As of April 22, South Dakota has not enforced a statewide stay-at-home order, but mass gatherings were restricted throughout the state on April 6 through May 2. According to the data, After July 2, relaxing social distancing may be possible with containment strategies.

Tennessee

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Tennesseeans were ordered to stay at home effective April 2. Non-essential services were closed one day prior on April 1. The orders are set to expire on April 30 and as of April 27 no extension was issued. According to the data, after May 24, Tennessee may be able to relax social distancing guidelines with containment strategies.

Texas

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Texas issued a government-mandated stay at home order on April 2. On April 27, Governor Greg Abbott announced his intention to let the stay at home order expire on April 30. According to the data, relaxing the state’s social distancing order may be possible with containment strategies after June 15.

Utah

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Utah’s governor, Gary R. Herbert, issued a “Stay Home, Stay Safe” directive on March 27. Herbert’s directive was not a shelter-in-place order, but rather a list of guidelines that urged individuals to stay at home as much as possible. That order was set to expire April 13, but was extended through May 1. According to the data, after July 7, relaxing social distancing guidelines may be possible in Utah with containment strategies.

Vermont

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Vermont implemented a stay-at-home order on March 24 and non-essential services were ordered to close the following day on March 25. The order was extended on April 10 and will now be in effect until May 15. Relaxing social distancing in Vermont may be possible after May 17 with containment strategies.

Virginia

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A temporary stay-at-home order by the Virginia governor was effective as of March 30. It was extended and is now in effect until June 10. According to the data, after May 27, relaxing social distancing may be possible with containment strategies.

Washington

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A “Stay at home, Stay healthy” order was issued in Washington by Governor Jay Inslee on March 23. All non-essential services closed March 25. The order was extended on April 2 through May 4. Relaxing social distancing orders may be possible after May 30 with containment strategies.

Washington DC

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Mayor Muriel Bowser issued a stay-at-home order for the District of Columbia on March 30. On April 15 that order was extended through May 15. It may be possible for the District of Columbia to relax social distancing guidelines after May 27.

West Virginia

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Non-essential services closed in West Virginia on March 24. A stay-at-home order was implemented the following day on March 25. The original order was indefinite and must be lifted by a subsequent executive order. As of April 27 it is still in effect. According to the data after May 10, relaxing social distancing may be possible with containment strategies.

Wisconsin

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Wisconsin closed non-essential services and implemented a stay-at-home order on March 25. On April 16 a second order was signed extending the stay-at-home provisions until May 26. According to the data, with containment strategies, Wisconsin could possibly relax social distancing guidelines after May 23.

Wyoming

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As of April 27, Wyoming has not implemented a mandatory statewide stay-at-home order. However, mass gatherings were restricted on March 20 and closures of schools, theaters, bars, restaurants and other businesses extends to April 30. According to the data, relaxing social distancing guidelines may be possible after May 31 with containment strategies.